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SeedStake

Glossary · Mindset

Variance

The natural swing of results around your true expected outcome.

Variance is the statistical spread of your results. Even a long-term winner will experience losing streaks purely due to variance — it's the reason short-run results are a poor measure of skill.

Managing variance means keeping bets small enough to survive downswings and using leading indicators like CLV to judge your process independent of luck.

Go deeperVariance, Downswings, and Tilt: Staying Sane in the Swings

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